MeridianConsensus
Industry coverage6 commissioned studies · $98.7B in aggregate coverage

Automotive & Mobility.

The combustion-to-electric transition is not a single event. We cover OEMs, tier suppliers, powertrains (ICE, EV, hybrid), autonomy stacks, and the aftermarket. Every study factors in battery-chemistry mix, policy credits, and the Chinese supply-chain position.

Our view

Thesis on Automotive.

The combustion-to-electric transition is not a single event. We cover OEMs, tier suppliers, powertrains (ICE, EV, hybrid), autonomy stacks, and the aftermarket. Every study factors in battery-chemistry mix, policy credits, and the Chinese supply-chain position.

Same methodology as every other Meridian verticalCommittee-reviewed before publication
What we research

Sub-sectors of Automotive.

Every sub-sector below is commissionable as a standalone 30-chapter study, or scoped bespoke for investment-committee and diligence use.

OEMs & Tier 1 Suppliers

Global OEM share, tier-supplier margin, platform rationalisation, China-Europe-US dynamics.

Electric Vehicles & Batteries

LFP vs NCM chemistry mix, IRA arbitrage, cathode capacity, battery-cycle economics.

Powertrain & Propulsion

ICE long-tail, hybrid architectures, fuel cell, e-axle and inverter supply chains.

Autonomy, ADAS & Aftermarket

L2+/L3 deployment, sensor stacks, aftermarket parts, insurance-telematics economics.

Commercial Vehicles & Trucks

Class 8 truck electrification, medium-duty segment dynamics, fleet-operator economics.

Charging & Mobility Infrastructure

Public-DCFC network economics, depot charging for fleets, V2G and bi-directional charging.

Interactive · live

A working automotive dashboard.

Every commissioned automotive study ships as an interactive dashboard, size and trajectory, ranked share, regional cuts, segmentation. Hover every bar to see the underlying figure; every number is traceable to a named source.

Interactive dashboard · live
Light-vehicle manufacturing · specimen
MRI · Q2 2026
Overview
2025 size · 2026–2036 forecast · committee-signed
$3.32T
2019
$3.39T
2020
$3.46T
2021
$3.53T
2022
$3.60T
2023
$3.67T
2024
$3.75T
2025
$4.43T forecast
2030
$5.42T forecast
2036
Revenue trajectory (historical 2020 – Q1 2026 · forecast 2026–2036)
Headline figures
2025 size
$3.75T
2036 forecast
$5.42T +3.7% CAGR
Confidence
High
See a live report
Strategic themes · this quarter

What is moving in Automotive.

The priorities our research committee is tracking across the sector this quarter. Sub-sectors describe structure; themes describe motion. Reports commissioned against these themes ship with the latest signal-read baked in.

01

LFP penetration in North America

IRA-compliant LFP supply-chain buildout; CATL licensing structures; cathode-capacity siting.

02

China EV export surge

2025–2030 Chinese OEM global share projection under tariff and brand-positioning constraints.

03

IRA 30D tax-credit arbitrage

Battery sourcing compliance, critical-minerals country-of-origin, and incentive retention under administration change.

04

ICE long-tail

2035+ residual combustion-vehicle demand, parts-aftermarket economics, and retrofitting markets.

05

Software-defined vehicle capability gap

Traditional OEM software organisations vs Tesla/BYD/Chinese-new-entrant architectures.

06

Hybrid resurgence

US and EU consumer preference shifting from pure-BEV back to HEV / PHEV on range-anxiety and charging-infrastructure lag; Toyota / Hyundai / Honda share thesis reframed.

07

Dealer-network economics under agency model

OEM agency-model adoption across Europe and select US states reshaping dealer margin pools and software-layer control of the customer relationship.

08

Autonomy cost-down curve post-Cruise

Waymo and Baidu Apollo Go unit economics; sensor-BOM compression and the compute-platform (Nvidia Thor / Qualcomm Ride) consolidation thesis.

In the library

Commissioned studies.

All markets
Representative engagement

A recent Automotive engagement.

Client identity is held under NDA; scope, methodology, and outcome are disclosed. Full engagement references available under mutual confidentiality.

Engagement

Electric Vehicle Battery

Corporate development · automotive OEM

10-yr
Forward horizon modelled
Scope

Supply-chain cartography across LFP and NCM chemistries: capacity maps, raw-material flows, and policy-cycle sensitivity to 2036.

Outcome

Informed the North American capacity-siting decision for the client and the IRA tax-credit arbitrage thesis presented to the investment committee.

Who uses this research

Role-tested in Automotive.

The four teams that most commonly commission automotive research. Each role below maps to a specific use-case the commissioned study is scoped against, from diligence to annual planning.

Corporate Development · OEM / Tier 1

Battery, software, and mobility-platform acquisition diligence with supply-chain exposure mapping.

Venture Capital

EV-adjacent, autonomy-stack, and charging-infrastructure investment diligence.

Product Planning & Strategy

Platform-mix planning, chemistry-sensitivity modelling, and policy-credit scenario analysis.

Equity Research

Coverage-note context for auto OEM, supplier, and mobility equities with cycle and backlog disclosure.

Commission research

A automotivemarket we haven’t yet covered?

Same methodology, same committee review, same written support. If you can describe the sub-sector, we can commission the study, accessible instantly on demand. Any geography, any boundary.

Adjacent coverage

Related verticals.

All industries

Intel Watchlist · from $89/mo

Track automotive continuously: never miss a deal, exec move, or filing.

Senior Analyst Support ships an always-on intel feed: M&A 8-Ks, exec moves, regulatory dockets, and patent filings on automotive. Email + Slack delivery. Cancel any time.

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